Language:English
Lois Boisson v Belinda Bencic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lois Boisson (Local)
Prediction 20.41%4.90fair odd
EV +8.16%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.155%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.08%20.50%20.38%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.624.605.3025.00%21.65%21.74%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belinda Bencic (Visit)
Prediction 79.59%1.26fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -9.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%79.50%79.62%81.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.201.2387.72%83.84%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lois Boisson (Local): 20.41%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 79.59%. For Lois Boisson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.90. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +8.16%E +1.54%K +1.90%G +0.155% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 01:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 01:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.26%E -8.13%K -66.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.26%E -8.13%K -66.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.26%E -8.13%K -66.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.006%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.47%E -7.36%K -56.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 01:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -2.66%E -0.557%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -2.66%E -0.557%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 02:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -3.68%E -0.779%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.09%E -0.870%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.09%E -0.870%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.09%E -0.870%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.11%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.11%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 00:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.90%E -2.37%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 01:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 02:18 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 21:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 01:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 02:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -11.23%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV -11.84%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -2.10%E -1.71%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 02:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.25%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.90%E -2.37%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -13.27%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.90%E -2.37%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.29%E -3.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.29%E -3.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.37%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 02:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.37%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 02:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 02:10 |