Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lois Boisson v Belinda Bencic

Início: 2026-08-16 02:20 UTC

Final: Lois Boisson 1–0 Belinda Bencic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lois Boisson (Local)

Previsão 20.41%4.90odd justa
EV +8.16%
Vantagem +1.54%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescimento +0.155%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.08%20.50%20.38%23.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.624.605.3025.00%21.65%21.74%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Previsão 79.59%1.26odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -9.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.92%79.50%79.62%81.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.191.201.2387.72%83.84%83.33%81.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lois Boisson (Local): 20.41%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 79.59%. Para Lois Boisson (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.90. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.16%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +8.16%E +1.54%K +1.90%G +0.155%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 02:09
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 01:09
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 01:10
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.88%E -5.88%K -40.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 01:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.26%E -8.13%K -66.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 02:19
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.26%E -8.13%K -66.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 02:19
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.04%E +0.407%K +0.509%G +0.010%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.26%E -8.13%K -66.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 02:19
Coolbet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.006%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 02:09
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 02:09
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -2.05%E -0.426%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.47%E -7.36%K -56.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 01:09
LowVig.ag🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -2.66%E -0.557%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 02:14
BetOnline.ag🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -2.66%E -0.557%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 02:15
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 02:14
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.07%E -0.646%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 22:00
GTbets🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -3.68%E -0.779%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 00:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.09%E -0.870%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.09%E -0.870%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 02:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.09%E -0.870%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 02:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.11%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 00:44
theScore Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -5.11%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 00:34
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:30
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:29
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:30
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:30
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:29
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:30
ReBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 02:09
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:30
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 02:09
Betsson🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 02:09
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 02:09
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.13%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 22:00
DraftKings🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 20.93%EV -6.74%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.07%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 02:15
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.90%E -2.37%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 02:18
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.17%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 21:39
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -3.69%E -3.05%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:55
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 01:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 02:19
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 22:00
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.21%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 02:19
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -11.23%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.08%E -5.15%K -33.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:09
1xBet🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV -11.84%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -2.10%E -1.71%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 02:09
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -12.25%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.90%E -2.37%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 01:55
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -13.27%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.90%E -2.37%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:04
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.29%E -3.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 01:10
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.29%E -3.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:43
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.37%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 02:18
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -18.37%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.49%E -3.74%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-08-16 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-08-16 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-08-16 02:15
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-08-16 02:15
ProphetX◎5.15I 19.42%NM 19.15%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.85%1.4%2026-08-16 02:10
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%1.9%2026-08-16 02:15
Novig◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%3.3%2026-08-16 02:10