Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Lois Boisson v Belinda Bencic

2026-08-15 15:00 UTC — WTA Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Lois Boisson (Local)

Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV +6.62%
Ventaja +1.81%
Kelly +2.50%
Crecimiento +0.165%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.11%29.11%28.89%30.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.383.403.6534.48%29.63%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 70.79%1.41momio equitativo
EV -0.894%
Ventaja -0.639%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.21%70.89%71.11%73.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.311.301.4079.37%76.22%76.92%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lois Boisson (Local): 29.21%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 70.79%. Para Lois Boisson (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.42. 17 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.65, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.62%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:39
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:39
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:39
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:40
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:39
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:38
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:39
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +6.62%E +1.81%K +2.50%G +0.165%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.16%E +1.43%K +1.98%G +0.102%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.16%E +1.43%K +1.98%G +0.102%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 07:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.16%E +1.43%K +1.98%G +0.102%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 07:40
GTbets🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV +2.82%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 07:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.894%G +0.020%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -10.80%E -8.58%K -41.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 07:39
DraftKings🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.101%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 07:58
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -0.685%E -0.202%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 08:39
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.685%E -0.202%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 08:52
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 07:49
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 07:54
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 07:50
1xBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -1.60%E -1.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 07:54
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 07:48
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 07:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -8.86%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 08:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:55
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:04
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 07:59
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.27%E -5.55%K -23.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 07:54
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 07:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 07:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 07:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 31.05%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.95%14.2%2026-08-14 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 47.83%1.10I 90.91%NM 52.17%74.2%2026-08-14 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 47.83%1.10I 90.91%NM 52.17%74.2%2026-08-14 08:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 47.83%1.10I 90.91%NM 52.17%74.2%2026-08-14 08:40
Arbitraje (16 combinaciones) +1.19%Unibet 3.65 (27.7%) / 1xBet 1.40 (72.3%)Ver las 16 combinaciones
Lois Boisson (Local)Belinda Bencic (Visitante)Margen
Unibet🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
Casumo🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
Grosvenor🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
BetRivers🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
TABtouch🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
Bally Bet🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
ATG (SE)🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
betPARX🎯 3.65 (27.6%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)+0.665%
Virgin Bet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.1%)+0.281%
LiveScore Bet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.1%)+0.281%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 3.60 (27.9%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.1%)+0.281%

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