Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamilla Rakhimova v Maria Sakkari

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 21:19 UTC

Final: Kamilla Rakhimova 1–2 Maria Sakkari

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamilla Rakhimova (Local)

Prediction 37.47%2.67fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.709%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%37.96%37.35%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.542.552.7254.64%39.35%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Sakkari (Visit)

Prediction 62.53%1.60fair odd
EV +14.42%
Edge +7.88%
Kelly +17.38%
Growth +2.51%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%62.04%62.65%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.8369.44%66.04%66.23%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamilla Rakhimova (Local): 37.47%; Maria Sakkari (Visit): 62.53%. For Maria Sakkari (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -31.42%E -17.17%K -37.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +14.42%E +7.88%K +17.38%G +2.51%9.3%2026-08-15 21:12
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -5.94%E -2.37%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -0.584%E -0.367%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 20:50
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.83%E -1.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 20:29
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.83%E -1.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -8.56%E -3.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 20:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:14
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.94%E -5.08%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.94%E -5.08%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:15
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:18
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 20:00
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:14
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.44%E -0.549%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.44%E -0.549%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 19:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:10
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:10
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:14
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 19:14
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:15
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:18
DraftKings🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.69%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.96%E -3.26%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.96%E -3.26%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.96%E -3.26%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:15
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.82%E -0.694%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 19:14
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
GTbets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +1.93%E +0.709%K +1.12%G +0.022%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 09:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.18%E +0.437%K +0.694%G +0.008%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.44%E -0.549%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.44%E -0.549%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.82%E -0.694%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 19:59
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.57%E -0.987%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.57%E -0.987%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 19:14
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 20:10
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 21:14
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 20:24
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 20:22
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 08:49
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:14
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -2.57%E -0.987%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.96%E -6.92%K -22.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-15 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-15 21:15
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-15 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-08-15 21:15
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-08-15 21:15
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-08-15 21:15
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-08-15 21:15