Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kamilla Rakhimova v Maria Sakkari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 21:19 UTC

Score final : Kamilla Rakhimova 1–2 Maria Sakkari

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kamilla Rakhimova (Local)

Prévision 37.47%2.67cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.709%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.37%37.96%37.35%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.832.542.552.7254.64%39.35%39.22%36.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Maria Sakkari (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.53%1.60cote équitable
EV +14.42%
Avantage +7.88%
Kelly +17.38%
Croissance +2.51%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%62.04%62.65%64.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.511.8369.44%66.04%66.23%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kamilla Rakhimova (Local) : 37.47% ; Maria Sakkari (Visiteur) : 62.53%. Pour Maria Sakkari (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.60. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.83, soit une espérance positive de +14.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -31.42%E -17.17%K -37.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +14.42%E +7.88%K +17.38%G +2.51%9.3%2026-08-15 21:12
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -5.94%E -2.37%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -0.584%E -0.367%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 20:50
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.83%E -1.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 20:29
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.83%E -1.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -8.56%E -3.51%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 20:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 20:14
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.94%E -5.08%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.94%E -5.08%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.08%E -1.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:15
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:18
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 20:00
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:14
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.71%E -2.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.44%E -0.549%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.44%E -0.549%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 19:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:10
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:10
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.19%E -3.34%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:14
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 19:14
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:15
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.81%E -4.54%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.34%E -2.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:18
DraftKings🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.69%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.96%E -3.26%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.96%E -3.26%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.96%E -3.26%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:15
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.82%E -0.694%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 19:14
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 20:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.59%E -3.70%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
GTbets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +1.93%E +0.709%K +1.12%G +0.022%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 09:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.18%E +0.437%K +0.694%G +0.008%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.44%E -0.549%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.44%E -0.549%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.82%E -0.694%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 19:59
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.57%E -0.987%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.57%E -0.987%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 19:14
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 20:10
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.31%E -2.53%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 21:14
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 20:24
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.06%E -4.19%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.21%E -4.14%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 20:22
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.84%E -4.59%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 08:49
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.46%E -5.04%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -8.09%E -5.50%K -17.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 19:14
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.694%E -0.262%K -0.420%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.44%E -1.74%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.34%E -6.44%K -20.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -2.57%E -0.987%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.96%E -6.92%K -22.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 10:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-15 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-15 21:15
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-08-15 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-08-15 21:15
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-08-15 21:15
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-08-15 21:15
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-08-15 21:15