Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Maria Sakkari
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 85.18%1.17fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -7.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.42%85.05%85.11%86.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.121.121.1693.46%89.56%89.29%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Sakkari (Visit)
Prediction 14.82%6.75fair odd
EV +3.75%
Edge +0.536%
Kelly +0.625%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%14.95%14.89%17.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.276.257.0019.05%15.95%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 85.18%; Maria Sakkari (Visit): 14.82%. For Maria Sakkari (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.75. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 13:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.82%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 14.18%EV +1.38%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV +0.640%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV +0.640%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.047%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -0.694%E -0.104%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.86%E -8.28%K -126.56%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.694%E -0.104%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 14:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.66%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.34%EV -0.842%E -0.126%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 06:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.14%E -0.803%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.62%EV -1.19%E -1.03%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.44%E -0.852%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -6.18%E -0.976%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 04:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 04:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 12:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.90%E -2.54%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -10.33%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.73%EV -7.16%E -6.56%K -79.51%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 14:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 15:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 10:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 10:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -22.19%E -4.23%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 0.1% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |