Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek v Maria Sakkari

Início: 2026-08-17 15:09 UTC

Final: Iga Swiatek 2–1 Maria Sakkari

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Previsão 85.18%1.17odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -7.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.42%85.05%85.11%86.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.121.121.1693.46%89.56%89.29%86.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Maria Sakkari (Visitante)

Previsão 14.82%6.75odd justa
EV +3.75%
Vantagem +0.536%
Kelly +0.625%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.37%14.95%14.89%17.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.256.276.257.0019.05%15.95%16.00%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Iga Swiatek (Local): 85.18%; Maria Sakkari (Visitante): 14.82%. Para Maria Sakkari (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.75. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.75%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%2.8%2026-08-17 14:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%3.6%2026-08-17 13:33
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%5.2%2026-08-17 12:04
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.82%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.18%EV +1.38%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003%3.1%2026-08-17 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV +0.640%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-17 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV +0.640%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-17 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.047%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -0.694%E -0.104%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.86%E -8.28%K -126.56%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.694%E -0.104%K -0.122%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 14:14
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.66%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.34%EV -0.842%E -0.126%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 06:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 15:00
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:14
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 21:19
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.14%E -0.803%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 14:54
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.62%EV -1.19%E -1.03%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.44%E -0.852%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 15:05
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -6.18%E -0.976%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 04:29
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 04:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 15:05
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 12:59
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.90%E -2.54%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -10.33%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 14:54
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.73%EV -7.16%E -6.56%K -79.51%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 15:05
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 15:05
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 14:14
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 15:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:05
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:05
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 14:44
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:20
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 14:45
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 10:14
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 10:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -22.19%E -4.23%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-08-17 15:05
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-08-17 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-08-17 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-08-17 15:05
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-17 15:05
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-08-17 15:05
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%3.4%2026-08-17 15:05