StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek v Maria Sakkari

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-17 15:09 UTC

Endstand: Iga Swiatek 2–1 Maria Sakkari

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Iga Swiatek (Heim)

Prognose 85.18%1.17faire Quote
EV -1.19%
Vorteil -1.03%
Kelly -7.46%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.16

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
82.42%85.05%85.11%86.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.071.121.121.1693.46%89.56%89.29%86.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Maria Sakkari (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.82%6.75faire Quote
EV +3.75%
Vorteil +0.536%
Kelly +0.625%
Wachstum +0.023%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.37%14.95%14.89%17.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.256.276.257.0019.05%15.95%16.00%14.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Iga Swiatek (Heim): 85.18%; Maria Sakkari (Auswärts): 14.82%. Für Maria Sakkari (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.75. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.75%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%2.8%2026-08-17 14:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%3.6%2026-08-17 13:33
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%5.2%2026-08-17 12:04
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.01%E -7.41%K -100.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.75%E +0.536%K +0.625%G +0.023%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.82%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.18%EV +1.38%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003%3.1%2026-08-17 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV +0.640%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-17 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV +0.640%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-17 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.047%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -0.694%E -0.104%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.86%E -8.28%K -126.56%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.694%E -0.104%K -0.122%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 14:14
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.66%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.34%EV -0.842%E -0.126%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 06:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 15:00
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:14
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.66%E -0.563%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 21:19
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.14%E -0.803%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 14:54
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.62%EV -1.19%E -1.03%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.44%E -0.852%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 15:05
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -6.18%E -0.976%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 04:29
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 04:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 11:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.36%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 15:05
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.10%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 12:59
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.90%E -2.54%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -10.33%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 14:54
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.73%EV -7.16%E -6.56%K -79.51%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.27%EV -10.33%E -1.71%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 15:05
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 15:05
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 14:14
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 15:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.07%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:05
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:05
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -14.03%E -2.42%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 14:44
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.77%E -2.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:20
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.32%K -28.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 14:45
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 10:14
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.48%E -3.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 10:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -4.60%E -4.11%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -22.19%E -4.23%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 15:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-08-17 15:05
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-08-17 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-08-17 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-08-17 15:05
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-17 15:05
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-08-17 15:05
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%3.4%2026-08-17 15:05