Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.04
assuming max odds 19.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 92.83%; Diane Parry (Visit): 7.17%. For Diane Parry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.95. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +36.21%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +36.21%E +1.91%K +2.01%G +0.729% | 2.4% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +21.88%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.299% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +14.71%E +0.919%K +0.980%G +0.144% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.71%E +0.919%K +0.980%G +0.144% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 09:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.76%EV -3.46%E -3.32%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 15.63I 6.40%NM 6.24%EV +12.05%E +0.771%K +0.824%G +0.099% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:48 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:48 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:47 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.62%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 14.96I 6.68%NM 6.38%EV +7.25%E +0.485%K +0.519%G +0.038% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +6.10%E +0.412%K +0.442%G +0.027% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.39%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 14.56I 6.87%NM 6.61%EV +4.38%E +0.301%K +0.323%G +0.014% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.39%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 14.56I 6.87%NM 6.61%EV +4.38%E +0.301%K +0.323%G +0.014% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.46%E -3.32%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +3.95%E +0.273%K +0.293%G +0.012% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +3.95%E +0.273%K +0.293%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +0.368%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 10:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.12%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.95I 7.17%NM 6.88%EV +0.009%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 05:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -3.22%E -0.238%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 14:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.56%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -19.35%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -28.31%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -28.31%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -31.89%E -3.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 15:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.48%E -3.94%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24% | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.76% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 14:40 |