Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek v Diane Parry

Início: 2026-08-19 15:08 UTC

Final: Iga Swiatek 2–0 Diane Parry

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Previsão 92.83%1.08odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -3.32%
Kelly -86.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.73%92.68%92.72%94.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.74%98.04%96.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diane Parry (Visitante)

Previsão 7.17%13.95odd justa
EV +36.21%
Vantagem +1.91%
Kelly +2.01%
Crescimento +0.729%

pressupondo odds máximas de 19.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.14%7.32%7.28%10.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.0013.5013.0019.0011.11%7.41%7.69%5.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Iga Swiatek (Local): 92.83%; Diane Parry (Visitante): 7.17%. Para Diane Parry (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 13.95. 23 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 19.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +36.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +36.21%E +1.91%K +2.01%G +0.729%2.4%2026-08-19 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496%2.6%2026-08-19 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496%2.6%2026-08-19 06:29
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496%3.6%2026-08-19 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +21.88%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.299%3.9%2026-08-19 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +14.71%E +0.919%K +0.980%G +0.144%3.3%2026-08-19 06:29
Bovada🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.71%E +0.919%K +0.980%G +0.144%5.3%2026-08-18 09:43
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.76%EV -3.46%E -3.32%K -86.40%G +0.000%15.63I 6.40%NM 6.24%EV +12.05%E +0.771%K +0.824%G +0.099%2.6%2026-08-19 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041%3.8%2026-08-18 14:00
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041%3.8%2026-08-18 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041%3.8%2026-08-18 17:40
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041%4.7%2026-08-19 14:50
888sport🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041%5.7%2026-08-19 14:48
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041%5.7%2026-08-19 14:48
888sport (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041%5.7%2026-08-19 14:47
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.62%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%14.96I 6.68%NM 6.38%EV +7.25%E +0.485%K +0.519%G +0.038%4.7%2026-08-18 09:44
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +6.10%E +0.412%K +0.442%G +0.027%4.8%2026-08-19 15:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.39%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%14.56I 6.87%NM 6.61%EV +4.38%E +0.301%K +0.323%G +0.014%4.0%2026-08-18 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.39%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%14.56I 6.87%NM 6.61%EV +4.38%E +0.301%K +0.323%G +0.014%4.0%2026-08-18 09:55
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.46%E -3.32%K -86.40%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +3.95%E +0.273%K +0.293%G +0.012%3.1%2026-08-19 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +3.95%E +0.273%K +0.293%G +0.012%4.0%2026-08-19 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +0.368%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 10:04
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.12%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.95I 7.17%NM 6.88%EV +0.009%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 05:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -3.22%E -0.238%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 14:14
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:05
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:05
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:05
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 09:44
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 09:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 14:50
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 15:05
Grosvenor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 15:05
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 15:05
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 15:04
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 15:04
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 14:48
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.56%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -19.35%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 15:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 14:19
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -28.31%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -28.31%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 15:04
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -31.89%E -3.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 15:01
betano_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.48%E -3.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 14:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-08-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-08-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%0.5%2026-08-19 15:05
Matchbook◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-08-19 15:05
ProphetX◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-08-19 15:05
Novig◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-08-19 15:05
Smarkets◎1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.76%2.0%2026-08-19 14:40