Idioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Diane Parry
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 92.83%1.08momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -3.32%
Kelly -86.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.73%92.68%92.72%94.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.74%98.04%96.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Diane Parry (Visitante)
Predicción 7.17%13.95momio equitativo
EV +36.21%
Ventaja +1.91%
Kelly +2.01%
Crecimiento +0.729%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 19.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.14%7.32%7.28%10.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
9.0013.5013.0019.0011.11%7.41%7.69%5.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Iga Swiatek (Local): 92.83%; Diane Parry (Visitante): 7.17%. Para Diane Parry (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 13.95. 23 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 19.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +36.21%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +36.21%E +1.91%K +2.01%G +0.729% | 2.4% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.59%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.41%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +29.04%E +1.61%K +1.71%G +0.496% | 3.6% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +21.88%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.299% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +14.71%E +0.919%K +0.980%G +0.144% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.71%E +0.919%K +0.980%G +0.144% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 09:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.76%EV -3.46%E -3.32%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 15.63I 6.40%NM 6.24%EV +12.05%E +0.771%K +0.824%G +0.099% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:48 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:48 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.54%E +0.502%K +0.538%G +0.041% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:47 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.62%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 14.96I 6.68%NM 6.38%EV +7.25%E +0.485%K +0.519%G +0.038% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +6.10%E +0.412%K +0.442%G +0.027% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.39%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 14.56I 6.87%NM 6.61%EV +4.38%E +0.301%K +0.323%G +0.014% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.39%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 14.56I 6.87%NM 6.61%EV +4.38%E +0.301%K +0.323%G +0.014% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.46%E -3.32%K -86.40%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +3.95%E +0.273%K +0.293%G +0.012% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +3.95%E +0.273%K +0.293%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +0.368%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 10:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.12%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.95I 7.17%NM 6.88%EV +0.009%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 05:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -3.22%E -0.238%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 14:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.80%E -0.523%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.97%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 14:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.56%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -19.35%E -1.72%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.14%E -1.92%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -28.31%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -624.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -28.31%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 15:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.63%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -31.89%E -3.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 15:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.48%E -3.94%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.76% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24% | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.76% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 14:40 |