Language:English
Elise Mertens v Diane Parry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elise Mertens (Local)
Prediction 73.74%1.36fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -5.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%73.64%73.62%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.39%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diane Parry (Visit)
Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.36%26.38%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.553.8630.77%28.10%28.17%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elise Mertens (Local): 73.74%; Diane Parry (Visit): 26.26%. For Diane Parry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV +1.38%E +0.356%K +0.481%G +0.007% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.201%E -0.053%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -0.726%E -0.192%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -0.726%E -0.192%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.40%E -2.60%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.51%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.51%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.83%E -6.26%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.51%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.83%E -6.26%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.51%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.83%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 06:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.83%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.83%E -6.26%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.83%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -1.93%E -1.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 07:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.40%E -2.60%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 21:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:42 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 06:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.83%E -6.26%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -5.98%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.55%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.45%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.40%E -2.60%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.40%E -2.60%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 09:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.93%E -1.45%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 20:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 20:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 20:05 |