Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens v Diane Parry

Início: 2026-08-15 21:15 UTC

Final: Elise Mertens 1–2 Diane Parry

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Previsão 73.74%1.36odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -5.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.96%73.64%73.62%75.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.39%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diane Parry (Visitante)

Previsão 26.26%3.81odd justa
EV +1.38%
Vantagem +0.356%
Kelly +0.481%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%26.36%26.38%29.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.563.553.8630.77%28.10%28.17%25.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elise Mertens (Local): 73.74%; Diane Parry (Visitante): 26.26%. Para Diane Parry (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.86, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.38%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV +1.38%E +0.356%K +0.481%G +0.007%2.8%2026-08-15 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.201%E -0.053%K -0.072%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -0.726%E -0.192%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.56%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -0.726%E -0.192%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.40%E -2.60%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.51%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 21:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.51%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 11:09
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.83%E -6.26%K -31.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.51%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:13
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.83%E -6.26%K -31.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.51%E -0.404%K -0.550%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:12
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.83%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 06:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.83%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.83%E -6.26%K -31.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.83%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:14
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -1.93%E -1.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 07:24
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:00
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 19:10
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.40%E -2.60%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:09
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:39
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:42
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 06:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.83%E -6.26%K -31.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 09:39
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -5.98%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 21:55
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.55%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.45%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 09:39
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:44
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:14
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.40%E -2.60%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:35
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.40%E -2.60%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 21:10
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:40
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 09:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:40
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:35
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:39
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 13:39
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 13:39
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:43
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.62%E -4.39%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 09:39
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 13:39
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.14%E -3.19%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 20:50
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.93%E -1.45%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:59
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.88%E -3.78%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.65%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-15 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-15 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-15 20:30
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-15 20:25
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-08-15 20:55
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-08-15 20:39
Novig◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%3.0%2026-08-15 20:05