Language:English
Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Lucrezia Stefanini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Prediction 65.63%1.52fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -5.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.59%65.63%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.451.461.4871.94%68.90%68.73%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lucrezia Stefanini (Visit)
Prediction 34.37%2.91fair odd
EV -0.316%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.166%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%34.41%34.37%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.752.9038.46%36.58%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 65.63%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visit): 34.37%. For Lucrezia Stefanini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -0.316%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.41%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.41%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 14:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -8.22%E -3.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.316%E -0.109%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.78%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 07:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 08:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 08:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.94%E -3.79%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 08:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 07:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.316%E -0.109%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.75%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -7.47%E -5.30%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.00%E -0.349%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.75%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 07:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -8.78%E -6.32%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -2.72%E -0.962%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |