Idioma:Español
Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Lucrezia Stefanini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Predicción 65.63%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -5.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.59%65.63%67.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.451.461.4871.94%68.90%68.73%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante)
Predicción 34.37%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.316%
Ventaja -0.109%
Kelly -0.166%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.71%34.41%34.37%36.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.732.752.9038.46%36.58%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 65.63%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante): 34.37%. Para Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.90, con un valor esperado de -0.316%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.41%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.41%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 14:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -8.22%E -3.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.316%E -0.109%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.78%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 07:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 08:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 08:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.94%E -3.79%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 08:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 07:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.316%E -0.109%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.75%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -7.47%E -5.30%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.00%E -0.349%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.75%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 07:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -8.78%E -6.32%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -2.72%E -0.962%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 13:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |