Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Lucrezia Stefanini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 15:02 UTC

Score final : Elisabetta Cocciaretto 0–0 Lucrezia Stefanini

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)

Prévision 65.63%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -5.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.59%65.63%67.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.451.461.4871.94%68.90%68.73%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV -0.316%
Avantage -0.109%
Kelly -0.166%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.71%34.41%34.37%36.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.732.752.9038.46%36.58%36.36%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local) : 65.63% ; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur) : 34.37%. Pour Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.91. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.90, pour une espérance de -0.316% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 11:09
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.87%E -1.94%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 14:39
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.41%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.41%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 11:24
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 15:00
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:58
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 15:00
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:10
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -3.53%E -2.40%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -8.22%E -3.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.316%E -0.109%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 13:59
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.78%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 14:50
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 11:24
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 08:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 08:24
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.19%E -2.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.03%E -0.714%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.78%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 07:58
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 08:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:24
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.84%E -3.34%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 15:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:59
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:59
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:24
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 08:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 07:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 08:24
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.94%E -3.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 08:00
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 07:59
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.50%E -3.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 07:58
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.316%E -0.109%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 13:39
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.75%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.15%E -4.30%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 07:59
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -7.47%E -5.30%K -18.21%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.13%E -1.86%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 07:59
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.00%E -0.349%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.75%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.12%E -5.80%K -20.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 07:49
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -8.78%E -6.32%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -2.72%E -0.962%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-08-14 15:00
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-08-14 15:00
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%2.3%2026-08-14 15:00
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%3.0%2026-08-14 15:00