Language:English
Diana Shnaider v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Diana Shnaider (Local)
Prediction 30.37%3.29fair odd
EV +6.29%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.158%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%30.34%30.33%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.053.053.5037.04%32.79%32.73%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 69.63%1.44fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%69.66%69.67%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.22%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 30.37%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 69.63%. For Diana Shnaider (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +6.29%E +1.80%K +2.52%G +0.158% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +4.77%E +1.38%K +1.95%G +0.093% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +3.26%E +0.958%K +1.36%G +0.044% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%EV +2.95%E +0.871%K +1.24%G +0.036% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV +0.826%E +0.249%K +0.356%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.30%E -0.400%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:47 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.30%E -0.400%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -1.91%E -0.590%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.12%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.12%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 20:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -1.12%E -0.792%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 20:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.77%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -7.07%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 20:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -18.00%E -6.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |