Idioma:Español
Diana Shnaider v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Diana Shnaider (Local)
Predicción 30.37%3.29momio equitativo
EV +6.29%
Ventaja +1.80%
Kelly +2.52%
Crecimiento +0.158%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%30.34%30.33%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.703.053.053.5037.04%32.79%32.73%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 69.63%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%69.66%69.67%72.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.22%73.53%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Diana Shnaider (Local): 30.37%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 69.63%. Para Diana Shnaider (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +6.29%E +1.80%K +2.52%G +0.158% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +4.77%E +1.38%K +1.95%G +0.093% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +3.26%E +0.958%K +1.36%G +0.044% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%EV +2.95%E +0.871%K +1.24%G +0.036% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV +0.826%E +0.249%K +0.356%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.30%E -0.400%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:47 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.30%E -0.400%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -1.91%E -0.590%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.12%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.12%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 20:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -1.12%E -0.792%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 20:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.77%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 20:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -7.07%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 20:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 20:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 20:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -18.00%E -6.67%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 20:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 20:50 |