Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diana Shnaider v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-08-19 20:51 UTC

Final: Diana Shnaider 0–2 Elena Rybakina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Previsão 30.37%3.29odd justa
EV +6.29%
Vantagem +1.80%
Kelly +2.52%
Crescimento +0.158%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%30.34%30.33%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.703.053.053.5037.04%32.79%32.73%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 69.63%1.44odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.792%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.67%69.66%69.67%72.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.371.361.4276.92%73.22%73.53%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Diana Shnaider (Local): 30.37%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 69.63%. Para Diana Shnaider (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.29. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +6.29%E +1.80%K +2.52%G +0.158%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 20:50
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +4.77%E +1.38%K +1.95%G +0.093%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 20:50
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +3.26%E +0.958%K +1.36%G +0.044%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 20:50
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78%EV +2.95%E +0.871%K +1.24%G +0.036%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 20:35
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV +0.826%E +0.249%K +0.356%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -9.48%E -7.29%K -31.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 20:50
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.30%E -0.400%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:47
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.30%E -0.400%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
BetUS🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -1.91%E -0.590%K -0.855%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 03:09
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 20:50
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 20:45
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:50
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.82%E -0.881%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 20:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.12%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.12%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 20:20
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 03:09
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.34%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 20:34
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -1.12%E -0.792%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 20:44
ReBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.25%E -1.68%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 13:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 20:25
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 20:25
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 20:50
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.85%E -1.89%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.77%E -2.20%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 20:49
DraftKings🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -7.07%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.61%E -3.36%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 20:49
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.42%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 20:50
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:50
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 20:50
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 20:46
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 20:46
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.44%K -17.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 20:50
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.89%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 20:49
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.91%E -2.83%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 20:20
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.41%E -3.53%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.39%E -5.56%K -22.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 20:50
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.93%E -4.11%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 20:45
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -13.45%E -4.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -1.82%E -1.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 20:50
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 20:50
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.97%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -16.48%E -5.99%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -5.30%E -3.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -18.00%E -6.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-19 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-19 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-19 20:35
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-08-19 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-08-19 20:50
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-08-19 20:50
Novig◎3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09%1.9%2026-08-19 20:50
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-08-19 20:50