Language:English
Daria Snigur v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daria Snigur (Local)
Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV +0.176%
Edge +0.054%
Kelly +0.078%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%30.90%30.49%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.58%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 69.18%1.45fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.753%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.10%69.51%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.93%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Snigur (Local): 30.82%; Madison Keys (Visit): 69.18%. For Daria Snigur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.176%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.176%E +0.054%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -0.440%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 07:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 08:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.00%E -6.01%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -3.83%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 16:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.69%E -6.58%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 08:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 09:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 11:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.00%E -6.01%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -6.61%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -1.08%E -0.753%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 04:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 03:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 03:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 03:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 16:17 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |