Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Daria Snigur v Madison Keys

Inizio: 2026-08-16 16:23 UTC

Finale: Daria Snigur 1–2 Madison Keys

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Daria Snigur (Casa)

Previsione 30.82%3.24quota equa
EV +0.176%
Vantaggio +0.054%
Kelly +0.078%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.67%30.90%30.49%32.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.58%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Madison Keys (Trasferta)

Previsione 69.18%1.45quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.753%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%69.10%69.51%70.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.93%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Daria Snigur (Casa): 30.82%; Madison Keys (Trasferta): 69.18%. Per Daria Snigur (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.24. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.176%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.176%E +0.054%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 16:20
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -0.440%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 07:19
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:10
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 08:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:20
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:52
BetUS🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 16:15
GTbets🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.00%E -6.01%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -3.83%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 08:24
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:14
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:13
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:14
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:14
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:10
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 08:25
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 08:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.69%E -6.58%K -27.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 08:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 16:08
LowVig.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 08:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 08:25
DraftKings🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 11:13
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 08:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 08:24
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 08:24
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 08:24
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.00%E -6.01%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 08:54
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -6.61%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -1.08%E -0.753%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 14:50
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:15
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:20
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 14:24
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 08:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 04:35
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:09
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:09
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:15
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:17
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-08-16 16:10
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-08-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-16 16:20
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-08-16 16:10
Novig◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%2.4%2026-08-16 16:20