Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Snigur v Madison Keys

Início: 2026-08-16 16:23 UTC

Final: Daria Snigur 1–2 Madison Keys

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Snigur (Local)

Previsão 30.82%3.24odd justa
EV +0.176%
Vantagem +0.054%
Kelly +0.078%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.67%30.90%30.49%32.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.58%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Previsão 69.18%1.45odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.753%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%69.10%69.51%70.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.371.361.4375.76%72.93%73.53%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daria Snigur (Local): 30.82%; Madison Keys (Visitante): 69.18%. Para Daria Snigur (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.24. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.176%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.176%E +0.054%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 16:20
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -0.440%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 07:19
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.37%E -0.427%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:10
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 08:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:20
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:54
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.91%E -0.923%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 08:52
BetUS🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 16:15
GTbets🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.00%E -6.01%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -3.83%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 08:24
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:14
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:13
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:14
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:14
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:20
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:10
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 08:25
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 08:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.45%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.69%E -6.58%K -27.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 08:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 16:08
LowVig.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 08:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 08:25
DraftKings🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.37%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 11:13
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 08:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 08:24
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 08:24
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 08:24
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.84%E -2.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.00%E -6.01%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 08:54
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -6.61%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -1.08%E -0.753%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 14:50
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:15
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:20
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 14:24
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 08:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 04:35
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.15%E -2.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:09
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:09
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:15
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.54%E -3.29%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 16:17
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.61%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-08-16 16:10
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-08-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-16 16:20
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-08-16 16:10
Novig◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%2.4%2026-08-16 16:20