Language:English
Coco Gauff v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coco Gauff (Local)
Prediction 74.29%1.35fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.897%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%74.20%74.23%76.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.64%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.58%25.80%25.77%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.583.554.0531.25%27.92%28.17%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 74.29%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 25.71%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +4.12%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.056% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +3.09%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.032% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.84%E +0.709%K +0.946%G +0.027% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.266%E +0.068%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.266%E +0.068%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -0.762%E -0.197%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.37%E -7.68%K -42.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.82%E -0.746%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.59%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.68%E -2.05%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.19%E -0.897%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.44%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.44%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -17.73%E -5.54%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.56% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |