Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coco Gauff v Liudmila Samsonova

Inizio: 2026-08-16 23:04 UTC

Finale: Coco Gauff 2–1 Liudmila Samsonova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coco Gauff (Casa)

Previsione 74.29%1.35quota equa
EV -1.19%
Vantaggio -0.897%
Kelly -3.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.80%74.20%74.23%76.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.64%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.71%3.89quota equa
EV +4.12%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescita +0.056%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.58%25.80%25.77%29.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.583.554.0531.25%27.92%28.17%24.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Coco Gauff (Casa): 74.29%; Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta): 25.71%. Per Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.89. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.12%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +4.12%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.056%4.7%2026-08-16 22:50
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +3.09%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.032%4.9%2026-08-16 22:49
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.84%E +0.709%K +0.946%G +0.027%5.0%2026-08-16 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.266%E +0.068%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 22:39
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.266%E +0.068%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 22:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -0.762%E -0.197%K -0.266%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:49
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:40
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:40
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.37%E -7.68%K -42.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 22:44
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.82%E -0.746%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 22:39
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.59%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 21:49
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 21:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 21:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 22:55
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 22:49
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 21:10
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 22:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 22:55
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 22:54
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 22:55
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:24
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:34
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.68%E -2.05%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:40
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 21:44
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:14
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 09:15
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 21:34
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.19%E -0.897%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.44%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.44%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 09:15
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -17.73%E -5.54%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 22:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-08-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-08-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-08-16 22:00
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-08-16 22:00
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.56%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.44%1.0%2026-08-16 22:50
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16%1.4%2026-08-16 23:00
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-08-16 23:00