Idioma:Español
Coco Gauff v Liudmila Samsonova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Coco Gauff (Local)
Predicción 74.29%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.897%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.80%74.20%74.23%76.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.64%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)
Predicción 25.71%3.89momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.056%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.58%25.80%25.77%29.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.583.554.0531.25%27.92%28.17%24.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Coco Gauff (Local): 74.29%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 25.71%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.89. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.12%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +4.12%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.056% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +3.09%E +0.772%K +1.03%G +0.032% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.84%E +0.709%K +0.946%G +0.027% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.266%E +0.068%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +0.266%E +0.068%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 22:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.81%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.19%EV -0.762%E -0.197%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.02%E -0.265%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.37%E -7.68%K -42.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.30%E -0.607%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.82%E -0.746%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.59%E -0.957%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.39%E -5.07%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.65%E -4.45%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.91%E -3.83%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -2.68%E -2.05%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.16%E -3.23%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.87%E -4.14%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.19%E -0.897%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.44%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.42%E -2.63%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.44%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -1.94%E -1.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -17.73%E -5.54%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 22:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.56% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.44% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-08-16 23:00 |