Language:English
Sonay Kartal v Xinyu Wang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sonay Kartal (Local)
Prediction 50.93%1.96fair odd
EV -0.690%
Edge -0.354%
Kelly -0.726%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%50.90%50.92%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.871.871.9558.82%53.42%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xinyu Wang (Visit)
Prediction 49.07%2.04fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.10%49.08%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.28%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sonay Kartal (Local): 50.93%; Xinyu Wang (Visit): 49.07%. For Sonay Kartal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.690%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.690%E -0.354%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.22%E -4.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.690%E -0.354%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.22%E -4.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.690%E -0.354%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.22%E -4.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.690%E -0.354%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.22%E -4.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.25%E -3.84%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.24%E -4.40%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 05:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 04:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 11:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.27%E -2.84%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 05:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.27%E -2.84%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.27%E -2.84%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 05:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 11:56 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 08:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 07:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.86%E -0.928%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 16:16 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.35%E -1.18%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 16:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.24%E -4.40%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 11:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.24%E -4.40%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 11:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -11.67%E -6.48%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-01 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.31%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.31%E -4.02%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.86%E -0.928%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 11:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.86%E -0.928%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-01 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-01 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -13.42%E -7.90%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -9.71%E -5.28%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-03 11:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 11:46 |