Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sonay Kartal v Xinyu Wang

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Prediction 52.76%1.90fair odd
EV -0.811%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.922%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.58%52.70%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.781.791.8859.17%56.05%55.87%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xinyu Wang (Visit)

Prediction 47.24%2.12fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.42%47.30%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.25%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sonay Kartal (Local): 52.76%; Xinyu Wang (Visit): 47.24%. For Sonay Kartal (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.88, with an expected value of -0.811%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.811%E -0.432%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 14:06
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.94%E -3.52%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 10:14
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.45%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.88%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.45%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.45%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 11:35
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 11:35
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:06
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 12:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 11:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.77%E -5.12%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 14:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.03%E -2.80%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.24%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 10:55
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.63%E -1.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 10:20
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.10%E -2.02%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.10%E -2.02%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.57%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.09%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.09%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.14%E -4.06%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -5.99%E -3.01%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.46%E -3.26%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 10:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 11:35
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.73%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 11:34
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.73%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 13:40
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -8.35%E -4.31%K -8.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-01 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.25%E -5.38%K -12.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.83%E -4.57%K -9.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-01 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.31%E -6.06%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.24%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-01 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.92%EV -10.84%E -6.41%K -15.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.08%EV -10.24%E -5.39%K -11.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%9.1%2026-10-01 14:25
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%10.2%2026-10-01 14:25