Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sonay Kartal v Xinyu Wang

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Predicción 52.63%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.559%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.91%52.45%52.63%53.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.791.791.8859.17%56.02%55.87%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Xinyu Wang (Visitante)

Predicción 47.37%2.11momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.38%47.55%47.37%49.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.901.992.002.0452.63%50.30%50.00%49.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sonay Kartal (Local): 52.63%; Xinyu Wang (Visitante): 47.37%. Para Sonay Kartal (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.90. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.88, con un valor esperado de -1.05%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.05%E -0.559%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 14:06
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.69%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 10:14
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 11:35
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 11:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 12:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 11:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 14:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.00%E -5.26%K -11.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 10:55
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.37%E -1.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 10:20
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.84%E -1.89%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.84%E -1.89%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -4.79%E -2.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.31%E -3.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.31%E -3.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.37%E -4.19%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -5.74%E -2.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 10:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 11:34
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 13:40
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -8.11%E -4.18%K -8.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.58%E -4.45%K -9.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-01 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.58%E -4.45%K -9.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-01 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.00%E -5.26%K -11.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-01 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.92%EV -11.05%E -6.54%K -16.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.08%EV -10.00%E -5.26%K -11.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%9.1%2026-10-01 14:55
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%10.2%2026-10-01 15:05