Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sonay Kartal v Xinyu Wang

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sonay Kartal (Local)

Prévision 52.63%1.90cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.91%52.45%52.63%53.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.691.791.791.8859.17%56.02%55.87%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Xinyu Wang (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.37%2.11cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%47.55%47.37%49.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.901.992.002.0452.63%50.30%50.00%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Sonay Kartal (Local) : 52.63% ; Xinyu Wang (Visiteur) : 47.37%. Pour Sonay Kartal (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.90. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.88, pour une espérance de -1.05% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.05%E -0.559%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 14:06
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.69%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 10:14
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 14:05
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 11:35
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 11:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 12:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 11:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 14:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.00%E -5.26%K -11.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 10:55
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.37%E -1.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 10:20
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.84%E -1.89%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.84%E -1.89%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:34
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -4.79%E -2.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.31%E -3.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.31%E -3.55%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.37%E -4.19%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -5.74%E -2.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-01 10:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 11:34
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 13:40
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -8.11%E -4.18%K -8.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.58%E -4.45%K -9.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-01 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.58%E -4.45%K -9.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-01 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.00%E -5.26%K -11.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-01 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.92%EV -11.05%E -6.54%K -16.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.08%EV -10.00%E -5.26%K -11.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-10-01 14:20
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%9.1%2026-10-01 14:55
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%10.2%2026-10-01 15:05