Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Kudermetova v Mirra Andreeva

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 05:04 UTC

Final: Polina Kudermetova 0–2 Mirra Andreeva

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Prediction 11.19%8.93fair odd
EV +11.95%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.159%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.26%11.18%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.308.238.0010.0015.87%12.15%12.50%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visit)

Prediction 88.81%1.13fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -3.79%
Kelly -51.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.71%88.74%88.82%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.0897.09%93.72%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 11.19%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 88.81%. For Polina Kudermetova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.93. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +11.95%E +1.19%K +1.33%G +0.159%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 00:05
DraftKings🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV +10.83%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.132%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 05:00
Pinnacle🎯9.64I 10.37%NM 10.07%EV +7.92%E +0.821%K +0.916%G +0.073%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.93%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 04:05
Betway🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +6.35%E +0.668%K +0.747%G +0.047%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 04:40
Betclic (FR)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV +3.55%E +0.384%K +0.430%G +0.015%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 04:48
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.753%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.753%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +0.753%E +0.084%K +0.094%G +0.001%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 15:15
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.05%E -0.234%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 00:03
BetMGM🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -2.05%E -0.234%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 20:50
Coolbet🎯8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -2.61%E -0.300%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 00:00
BetAnything🎯8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -2.61%E -0.300%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:55
FanDuel🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -3.73%E -0.433%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 00:00
ReBet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -3.73%E -0.433%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 04:05
Fliff🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 10.94%EV -4.29%E -0.501%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.06%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-04 04:40
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.84%E -0.570%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 00:00
Sky Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -4.84%E -0.570%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.84%E -0.570%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 00:05
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.84%E -0.570%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 00:01
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.84%E -0.570%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 00:05
Fanatics🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.84%E -0.570%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 03:55
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.84%E -0.570%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 03:01
LeoVegas🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.84%E -0.570%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -4.96%E -0.584%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 03:55
BetOnline.ag🎯8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -4.96%E -0.584%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 03:55
GTbets🎯8.44I 11.85%NM 11.34%EV -5.52%E -0.654%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.66%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 07:45
1xBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -7.08%E -0.853%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 04:40
Marathon Bet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -7.08%E -0.853%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 04:40
Betsson🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -7.64%E -0.926%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 05:00
NordicBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -7.64%E -0.926%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 05:00
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 04:55
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 04:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 04:30
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 04:31
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 20:50
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.44%E -1.31%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.87%E -5.53%K -97.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 05:00
theScore Bet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -13.24%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 04:35
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.04%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 03:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.04%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.09%E -3.79%K -51.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 00:00
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.04%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 03:51
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.04%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -16.04%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -8.53%E -8.28%K -284.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-02 10:55
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.64%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 00:02
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -21.64%E -3.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.98%E -4.65%K -71.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -27.23%E -4.19%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.29%EV -29.47%E -4.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.71%EV -6.75%E -6.43%K -135.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-04 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-10-04 04:05
Matchbook◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%1.3%2026-10-04 05:00
ProphetX◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%1.5%2026-10-04 05:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-10-04 05:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-10-04 05:00
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67%2.1%2026-10-04 05:00