Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Kudermetova v Mirra Andreeva

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

12%

88%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Prediction 11.56%8.65fair odd

EV +17.92%

Edge +1.76%

Kelly +1.95%

Growth +0.349%

assuming max odds 10.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.41%11.75%11.48%14.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.108.008.0010.2016.39%12.51%12.50%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visit)

Prediction 88.44%1.13fair odd

EV -2.72%

Edge -2.47%

Kelly -27.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

85.31%88.25%88.52%90.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.071.081.1097.09%93.53%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 11.56%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 88.44%. For Polina Kudermetova (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.65. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.20, producing a positive expected value of +17.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +17.92%E +1.76%K +1.95%G +0.349%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -6.25%E -5.90%K -104.23%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-02 12:25
Paddy Power🎯	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +15.60%E +1.56%K +1.73%G +0.271%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.25%E -5.90%K -104.23%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-02 11:00
Sky Bet🎯	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +15.60%E +1.56%K +1.73%G +0.271%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.25%E -5.90%K -104.23%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-02 13:05
SportsBet🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.506%G +0.020%	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.02%E -7.71%K -200.57%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-02 13:00
DraftKings🎯	8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV +2.89%E +0.324%K +0.366%G +0.011%	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.71%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-02 10:55
1xBet🎯	8.70I 11.49%NM 10.86%EV +0.576%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.14%EV -6.25%E -5.90%K -104.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-02 12:34
Marathon Bet🎯	8.70I 11.49%NM 10.86%EV +0.576%E +0.066%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.14%EV -6.25%E -5.90%K -104.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-02 12:40
Betsson🎯	8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -0.580%E -0.067%K -0.076%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.71%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.74%E -0.204%K -0.231%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.71%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-02 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -5.20%E -0.635%K -0.723%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.02%E -7.71%K -200.57%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-02 12:20
GTbets🎯	8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -7.40%E -0.924%K -1.06%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 11:10
Unibet🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
BetRivers🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
TABtouch🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
Grosvenor🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
Bally Bet🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
betPARX🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 10:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-02 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.25%E -5.90%K -104.23%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-02 11:05
888sport🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-02 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-02 10:59
William Hill🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.15%K -56.07%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-02 12:14
PMU (FR)🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -8.91%E -8.65%K -296.91%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas🎯	7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV -14.45%E -1.95%K -2.26%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.47%EV -6.25%E -5.90%K -104.23%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-02 12:50
ReBet🎯	6.70I 14.93%NM 13.55%EV -22.55%E -3.36%K -3.96%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 86.45%EV -7.14%E -6.80%K -142.77%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-02 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -23.70%E -3.59%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 86.27%EV -7.14%E -6.80%K -142.77%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-02 12:29
PlayUp🎯	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -24.86%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.72%E -2.47%K -27.16%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-02 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯	6.25I 16.00%NM 14.27%EV -27.75%E -4.44%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 85.73%EV -8.02%E -7.71%K -200.57%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-02 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV -29.48%E -4.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 85.31%EV -7.14%E -6.80%K -142.77%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-10-02 12:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%	1.05I 95.24%NM 86.62%	9.9%	2026-10-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%	1.05I 95.24%NM 86.62%	9.9%	2026-10-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%	1.05I 95.24%NM 85.91%	10.9%	2026-10-02 13:01
Smarkets◎	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%	1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%	11.9%	2026-10-02 12:30