Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Polina Kudermetova v Mirra Andreeva

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Previsão 11.73%8.52odd justa
EV +26.71%
Vantagem +2.47%
Kelly +2.73%
Crescimento +0.728%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.86%11.80%11.60%14.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.007.978.0010.8016.67%12.54%12.50%9.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)

Previsão 88.27%1.13odd justa
EV -4.67%
Vantagem -4.32%
Kelly -58.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.11%88.20%88.40%91.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.031.071.081.0897.09%93.57%92.59%92.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 11.73%; Mirra Andreeva (Visitante): 88.27%. Para Polina Kudermetova (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 8.52. 7 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 10.80, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +26.71%.

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +26.71%E +2.47%K +2.73%G +0.728%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 13:30
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +17.32%E +1.73%K +1.92%G +0.333%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 11:00
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +17.32%E +1.73%K +1.92%G +0.333%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 13:35
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +11.45%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.154%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.20%E -7.89%K -205.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:25
DraftKings🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV +4.42%E +0.496%K +0.559%G +0.025%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -5.55%E -5.19%K -79.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 10:55
1xBet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV +0.895%E +0.104%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV +0.895%E +0.104%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 13:10
Betsson🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -1.45%E -0.173%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.55%E -5.19%K -79.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -3.80%E -0.463%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.20%E -7.89%K -205.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-02 12:20
GTbets🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.03%E -0.752%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 11:10
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.55%E -5.19%K -79.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 11:05
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 13:15
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:59
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 12:14
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-02 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -9.08%E -8.82%K -302.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-02 10:55
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.88%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-02 13:19
ReBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.84%EV -22.57%E -3.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.16%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-02 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -22.57%E -3.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.27%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-02 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.27%EV -26.67%E -4.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.73%EV -8.20%E -7.89%K -205.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-02 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV -28.43%E -4.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.31%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-02 13:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.27%9.1%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.27%9.1%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.27%9.1%2026-10-02 13:10
Smarkets◎6.20I 16.13%NM 14.48%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.52%11.4%2026-10-02 13:40