Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Polina Kudermetova v Mirra Andreeva

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Prévision 11.73%8.52cote équitable
EV +26.71%
Avantage +2.47%
Kelly +2.73%
Croissance +0.728%

avec la cote maximale 10.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.86%11.80%11.60%14.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.978.0010.8016.67%12.54%12.50%9.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 88.27%1.13cote équitable
EV -4.67%
Avantage -4.32%
Kelly -58.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.11%88.20%88.40%91.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.071.081.0897.09%93.57%92.59%92.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Polina Kudermetova (Local) : 11.73% ; Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur) : 88.27%. Pour Polina Kudermetova (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 8.52. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 10.80, pour une espérance positive de +26.71%.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +26.71%E +2.47%K +2.73%G +0.728%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 13:30
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +17.32%E +1.73%K +1.92%G +0.333%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 11:00
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +17.32%E +1.73%K +1.92%G +0.333%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 13:35
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +11.45%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.154%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.20%E -7.89%K -205.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 13:25
DraftKings🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV +4.42%E +0.496%K +0.559%G +0.025%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -5.55%E -5.19%K -79.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 10:55
1xBet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV +0.895%E +0.104%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV +0.895%E +0.104%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 13:10
Betsson🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -1.45%E -0.173%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.55%E -5.19%K -79.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -3.80%E -0.463%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.20%E -7.89%K -205.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-02 12:20
GTbets🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.03%E -0.752%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 11:10
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 10:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.55%E -5.19%K -79.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.14%E -0.768%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 11:05
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 13:15
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:59
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 12:14
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-02 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -12.01%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -9.08%E -8.82%K -302.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-02 10:55
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.88%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.67%E -4.32%K -58.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-02 13:19
ReBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.84%EV -22.57%E -3.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.16%EV -6.44%E -6.07%K -107.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-02 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -22.57%E -3.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.27%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-02 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.27%EV -26.67%E -4.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.73%EV -8.20%E -7.89%K -205.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-02 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV -28.43%E -4.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.31%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-02 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.27%9.1%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.27%9.1%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.27%9.1%2026-10-02 13:10
Smarkets◎6.20I 16.13%NM 14.48%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.52%11.4%2026-10-02 13:40