Language:English
Paula Badosa v Daria Kasatkina
Head to Head
Paula Badosa (Local)
Prediction 67.42%1.48fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -6.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.30%67.59%68.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.411.4474.07%70.82%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daria Kasatkina (Visit)
Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -0.644%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.314%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.31%32.70%32.41%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.803.0537.74%35.18%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Paula Badosa (Local): 67.42%; Daria Kasatkina (Visit): 32.58%. For Daria Kasatkina (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -0.644%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.91%E -2.02%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.58%E -2.51%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -4.26%E -3.00%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.83%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.93%E -3.50%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.93%E -3.50%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.93%E -3.50%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.50%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -4.88%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 00:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-28 19:22 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.61%E -4.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-28 19:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.28%E -4.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.644%E -0.211%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.28%E -4.52%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.95%E -5.04%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.95%E -5.04%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -6.95%E -5.04%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-28 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.98%E -6.65%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 02:05 |