Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Paula Badosa v Daria Kasatkina

2026-10-01 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Paula Badosa (Casa)

Previsione 67.74%1.48quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -2.19%
Kelly -7.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.18%67.62%67.74%68.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.411.411.4374.07%70.95%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Daria Kasatkina (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.26%3.10quota equa
EV -1.61%
Vantaggio -0.529%
Kelly -0.786%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.31%32.38%32.26%33.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.852.803.0537.74%35.04%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Paula Badosa (Casa): 67.74%; Daria Kasatkina (Trasferta): 32.26%. Per Daria Kasatkina (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.10. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.05, con un valore atteso del -1.61%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:19
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:20
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 22:50
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-28 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-28 19:19
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-28 19:19
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 02:14
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.23%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 02:13
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.16%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 19:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-28 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 19:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 00:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-28 19:22
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-28 19:18
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.84%E -4.20%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.61%E -0.529%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.84%E -4.20%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 02:15
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.52%E -4.72%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.23%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 02:19
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.52%E -4.72%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-28 19:20
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.52%E -4.72%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -9.03%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -6.52%E -4.72%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-28 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.55%E -6.33%K -24.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-28 19:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%6.3%2026-09-29 02:05