Idioma:Español
Paula Badosa v Daria Kasatkina
Resultado del partido
Paula Badosa (Local)
Predicción 67.74%1.48momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -7.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.18%67.62%67.74%68.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.411.4374.07%70.95%70.92%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)
Predicción 32.26%3.10momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.529%
Kelly -0.786%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.31%32.38%32.26%33.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.852.803.0537.74%35.04%35.71%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Paula Badosa (Local): 67.74%; Daria Kasatkina (Visitante): 32.26%. Para Daria Kasatkina (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.10. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.05, con un valor esperado de -1.61%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.13%E -2.19%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-28 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.48%E -3.18%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 02:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.23%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 02:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.16%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.81%E -1.99%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 00:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-28 19:22 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.16%E -3.69%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-28 19:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.84%E -4.20%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.61%E -0.529%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.84%E -4.20%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.52%E -4.72%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.23%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 02:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.52%E -4.72%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -6.52%E -4.72%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -9.03%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -6.52%E -4.72%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-28 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.55%E -6.33%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-28 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 02:05 |