Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova v Katie Boulter

2026-10-02 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prediction 85.35%1.17fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -3.94%
Kelly -36.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.07%85.39%85.41%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.101.101.1296.15%91.31%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katie Boulter (Visit)

Prediction 14.65%6.83fair odd
EV +17.21%
Edge +2.15%
Kelly +2.46%
Growth +0.423%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%14.61%14.59%16.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.856.508.0018.87%14.59%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Karolina Muchova (Local): 85.35%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 14.65%. For Katie Boulter (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.83. 18 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +17.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +17.21%E +2.15%K +2.46%G +0.423%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.56%E +0.365%K +0.426%G +0.011%5.2%2026-09-30 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.56%E +0.365%K +0.426%G +0.011%5.2%2026-09-30 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -11.24%E -10.80%K -280.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV +2.56%E +0.365%K +0.426%G +0.011%10.4%2026-09-30 14:01
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.13%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.88%EV +0.946%E +0.137%K +0.161%G +0.002%4.6%2026-09-30 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.372%E -0.055%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.10%E -0.164%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 17:50
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -4.04%E -0.616%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 18:00
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 17:55
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.97%E -6.39%K -77.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.77%E -0.733%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -6.23%E -0.974%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-30 12:45
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -7.70%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.86%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -7.99%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -8.43%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.09%E -2.02%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 14:55
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.09%E -2.02%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-30 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.76%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-30 17:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.76%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-30 18:00
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.07%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.93%EV -16.49%E -2.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV -17.95%E -3.21%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-30 17:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -8.68%E -8.11%K -123.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -20.88%E -3.87%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-30 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.07%EV -7.82%E -7.24%K -97.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -22.35%E -4.22%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-30 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%11.4%2026-09-30 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%11.4%2026-09-30 19:05
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 83.07%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%11.5%2026-09-30 16:41
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%12.3%2026-09-30 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 81.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.40%15.6%2026-09-30 19:05