Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Katie Boulter
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 82.71%1.21fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -18.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%82.70%82.71%84.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.141.151.1793.46%87.55%87.34%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katie Boulter (Visit)
Prediction 17.29%5.78fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +0.621%
Kelly +0.745%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.61%17.30%17.29%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.545.506.0021.05%18.05%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 82.71%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 17.29%. For Katie Boulter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.53%E -5.78%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.19%E -7.38%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.72%E +0.621%K +0.745%G +0.028% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%EV -4.05%E -3.49%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV +2.00%E +0.338%K +0.407%G +0.008% | 3.2% | 2026-10-02 03:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.266%E +0.046%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -0.425%E -0.074%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 00:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -0.425%E -0.074%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.04%EV -3.23%E -2.76%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.96%EV -0.944%E -0.165%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 06:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -1.46%E -0.257%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -2.33%E -0.412%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 03:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.58%EV -8.19%E -7.38%K -74.44%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.42%EV -2.33%E -0.412%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.19%E -0.570%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 06:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.19%E -0.570%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 03:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.19%E -0.570%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 03:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.96%EV -11.50%E -10.75%K -164.25%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -3.19%E -0.570%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 03:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.92%E -0.895%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 03:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.92%E -0.895%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 01:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.92%E -0.895%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 01:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.92%E -0.895%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 01:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.92%E -0.895%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.92%E -0.895%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.92%E -0.895%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -4.05%E -3.49%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -6.30%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.36%E -6.57%K -61.35%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 06:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -9.84%E -9.03%K -109.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -6.65%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 00:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 03:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -8.38%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 03:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 06:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 06:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.23%E -2.76%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 00:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.23%E -2.76%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.23%E -2.76%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.23%E -2.76%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.23%E -2.76%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.23%E -2.76%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.23%E -2.76%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.89%E -3.77%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 03:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.88%E -4.24%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.89%E -3.77%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 03:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78% | 0.6% | 2026-10-02 06:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 06:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 06:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 06:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 06:46 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 05:30 |