StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Muchova v Katie Boulter

2026-10-02 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karolina Muchova (Hemma)

Prognos 85.19%1.17rättvist odds
EV -4.59%
Fördel -4.10%
Kelly -38.25%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.52%85.26%85.33%88.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.041.101.101.1296.15%91.22%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Katie Boulter (Borta)

Prognos 14.81%6.75rättvist odds
EV +18.50%
Fördel +2.31%
Kelly +2.64%
Tillväxt +0.489%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.89%14.74%14.67%17.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.106.836.508.0019.61%14.65%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Karolina Muchova (Hemma): 85.19%; Katie Boulter (Borta): 14.81%. För Katie Boulter (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.75. 19 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 8.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +18.50%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.69%E +0.527%K +0.615%G +0.023%5.2%2026-09-30 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.69%E +0.527%K +0.615%G +0.023%5.2%2026-09-30 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -11.41%E -10.97%K -285.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV +3.69%E +0.527%K +0.615%G +0.023%10.4%2026-09-30 14:01
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.13%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.88%EV +2.06%E +0.299%K +0.350%G +0.007%4.6%2026-09-30 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +0.727%E +0.107%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.0%2026-09-30 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.013%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 17:50
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -2.98%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 18:00
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 17:55
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -5.20%E -0.812%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-30 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.86%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -6.98%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.42%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.42%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -7.15%E -6.56%K -79.40%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.64%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-30 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.12%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 14:55
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.12%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-30 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.12%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.83%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-30 17:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.83%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-30 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%EV -7.15%E -6.56%K -79.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -17.05%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-30 19:23
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -7.15%E -6.56%K -79.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -18.53%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-30 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.07%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -21.49%E -4.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-30 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -24.45%E -4.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-30 19:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%9.7%2026-09-30 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%10.1%2026-09-30 19:40
Smarkets◎1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%12.2%2026-09-30 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 82.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%13.9%2026-09-30 19:45
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 80.99%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%14.3%2026-09-30 19:45