Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Muchova v Katie Boulter

2026-10-02 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 85.19%1.17odd justa
EV -4.59%
Vantagem -4.10%
Kelly -38.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.52%85.26%85.33%88.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.101.101.1296.15%91.22%90.91%89.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Katie Boulter (Visitante)

Previsão 14.81%6.75odd justa
EV +18.50%
Vantagem +2.31%
Kelly +2.64%
Crescimento +0.489%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.89%14.74%14.67%17.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.106.836.508.0019.61%14.65%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Karolina Muchova (Local): 85.19%; Katie Boulter (Visitante): 14.81%. Para Katie Boulter (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 6.75. 19 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 8.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +18.50%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +18.50%E +2.31%K +2.64%G +0.489%5.1%2026-09-30 14:01
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.69%E +0.527%K +0.615%G +0.023%5.2%2026-09-30 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.69%E +0.527%K +0.615%G +0.023%5.2%2026-09-30 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -11.41%E -10.97%K -285.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV +3.69%E +0.527%K +0.615%G +0.023%10.4%2026-09-30 14:01
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.13%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.88%EV +2.06%E +0.299%K +0.350%G +0.007%4.6%2026-09-30 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +0.727%E +0.107%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.0%2026-09-30 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.013%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 17:50
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -2.98%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 18:00
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 17:55
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.72%E -0.572%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -5.20%E -0.812%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-30 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.86%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -6.98%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.42%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.42%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -7.15%E -6.56%K -79.40%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.64%E -1.58%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-30 19:19
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.12%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 14:55
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.44%E -4.90%K -49.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.12%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-30 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.29%E -5.72%K -62.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.12%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.83%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-30 17:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.59%E -4.10%K -38.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.83%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-30 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%EV -7.15%E -6.56%K -79.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -17.05%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-30 19:23
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -7.15%E -6.56%K -79.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -18.53%E -3.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-30 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.07%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -21.49%E -4.06%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-30 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%EV -8.00%E -7.41%K -99.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -24.45%E -4.80%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-30 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%9.7%2026-09-30 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%10.1%2026-09-30 19:40
Smarkets◎1.08I 92.59%NM 82.52%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%12.2%2026-09-30 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 82.79%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%13.9%2026-09-30 19:45
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 80.99%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%14.3%2026-09-30 19:45