Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 2.68
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Donna Vekic (Local): 62.92%; Lin Zhu (Visit): 37.08%. For Lin Zhu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.68, with an expected value of -0.636%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.21%E -0.770%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.21%E -0.770%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.21%E -0.770%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.21%E -0.770%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.84%E -1.18%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.10%E -2.01%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 02:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.75%E -0.660%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -8.79%E -3.57%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 15:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.01%E -0.377%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.01%E -0.377%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-02 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.75%E -0.660%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.36%E -2.87%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.16%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.98%E -3.30%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.75%E -0.660%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.98%E -3.30%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 15:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.98%E -3.30%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.98%E -3.30%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.98%E -3.30%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.34%E -1.68%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.98%E -3.30%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.34%E -1.68%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.98%E -3.30%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.49%E -0.947%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.49%E -0.947%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.34%E -1.68%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.71%E -1.83%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 02:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 00:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.02%E -4.59%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 00:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.32%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -15.47%E -6.78%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.24%E -4.19%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.636%E -0.237%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -6.24%E -4.19%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -1.38%E -0.518%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 22:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.24%E -4.19%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.87%E -4.64%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.87%E -4.64%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.76%E -6.04%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.76%E -6.04%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.39%E -6.52%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.86%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -10.02%E -7.01%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -12.87%E -5.48%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 02:46 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 01:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 01:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 02:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |