Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Donna Vekic v Lin Zhu

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prévision 59.98%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -5.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.90%59.91%60.18%61.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.03%63.90%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lin Zhu (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.02%2.50cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.58%40.09%39.82%41.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.402.4245.45%42.36%41.67%41.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Donna Vekic (Local) : 59.98% ; Lin Zhu (Visiteur) : 40.02%. Pour Lin Zhu (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.50. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.42, pour une espérance de -3.15% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.35%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 14:09
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 13:02
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 13:00
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.15%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 14:59
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -5.55%E -2.35%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.38%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.62%EV -7.56%E -3.27%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 15:00
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 15:04
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 15:08
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.83%E -3.71%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 15:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.03%E -4.54%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.03%E -4.54%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -7.63%E -4.95%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.76%E -4.82%K -8.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-01 15:00
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.69%EV -10.76%E -4.82%K -8.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-01 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -8.83%E -5.81%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -3.15%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.83%E -5.81%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.83%E -5.81%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-01 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -9.43%E -6.24%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.96%E -5.44%K -9.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-01 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.32%EV -10.03%E -6.69%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.76%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-10-01 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-10-01 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%10.0%2026-10-01 15:15
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 59.08%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.92%12.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 58.92%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.08%17.0%2026-10-01 15:10