Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belinda Bencic v Anastasia Zakharova

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:05 UTC

Final: Belinda Bencic 2–0 Anastasia Zakharova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Prediction 78.33%1.28fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -15.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.13%78.43%78.24%80.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.221.2386.96%82.70%81.97%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Visit)

Prediction 21.67%4.61fair odd
EV +6.19%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%21.57%21.76%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.334.254.9027.03%23.09%23.53%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belinda Bencic (Local): 78.33%; Anastasia Zakharova (Visit): 21.67%. For Anastasia Zakharova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.57%E -6.42%K -42.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.19%E +1.26%K +1.59%G +0.098%5.2%2026-10-02 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.79%E -5.71%K -35.74%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +5.11%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.068%4.7%2026-10-02 16:51
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%EV +1.86%E +0.396%K +0.503%G +0.009%2.6%2026-10-03 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +1.86%E +0.396%K +0.503%G +0.009%3.2%2026-10-02 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.92%E -8.63%K -66.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +1.86%E +0.396%K +0.503%G +0.009%8.2%2026-10-03 05:50
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.66%E -2.97%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -1.17%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-02 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.26%E -0.501%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.26%E -0.501%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 07:21
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 22:07
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 01:10
ReBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 05:55
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 06:00
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.36%E -7.14%K -49.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.47%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-02 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -2.91%E -0.649%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 06:41
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.64%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.36%E -7.14%K -49.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.64%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 07:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 07:05
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 00:19
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 16:19
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 06:55
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 06:55
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 07:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 16:50
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -7.24%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 07:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 03:55
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.22%E -4.32%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 03:00
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 17:59
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 00:14
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 00:15
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 07:20
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 16:15
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.44%E -3.64%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 12:33
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.01%E -5.01%K -30.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.57%E -6.42%K -42.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.13%EV -9.14%E -7.88%K -57.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -19.81%E -5.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-03 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-10-03 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-10-03 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-10-03 06:20
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-10-03 06:25
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-10-03 07:55
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-10-03 07:55