Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Belinda Bencic v Anastasia Zakharova

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Predicción 77.11%1.30momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -10.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.07%77.06%77.07%79.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2684.75%81.94%81.97%79.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante)

Predicción 22.89%4.37momio equitativo
EV +3.01%
Ventaja +0.668%
Kelly +0.859%
Crecimiento +0.026%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.77%22.94%22.93%25.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.104.194.5027.78%24.37%23.89%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Belinda Bencic (Local): 77.11%; Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante): 22.89%. Para Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.37. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.01%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.01%E -7.64%K -50.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.01%E +0.668%K +0.859%G +0.026%7.0%2026-10-01 13:05
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.717%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.7%2026-10-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.886%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.886%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.01%E -7.64%K -50.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -1.57%E -0.366%K -0.477%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 12:50
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 14:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 11:15
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:00
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -2.95%E -0.695%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 13:06
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -4.38%E -3.54%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -4.55%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.01%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.70%E -5.53%K -31.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 11:15
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.38%E -3.54%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:05
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 12:00
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 12:33
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 11:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.01%E -7.64%K -50.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 14:30
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -9.81%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 13:10
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:55
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-01 13:08
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-01 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -8.24%E -6.92%K -43.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -16.45%E -4.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-01 13:05
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.84%E -2.26%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.60%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -8.24%E -6.92%K -43.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -17.60%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 13:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%7.6%2026-10-01 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%10.1%2026-10-01 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%10.1%2026-10-01 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%10.1%2026-10-01 14:51
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%12.5%2026-10-01 15:10