StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Belinda Bencic v Anastasia Zakharova

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Belinda Bencic (Hemma)

Prognos 77.11%1.30rättvist odds
EV -2.84%
Fördel -2.26%
Kelly -10.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.07%77.06%77.07%79.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.181.221.221.2684.75%81.94%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Borta)

Prognos 22.89%4.37rättvist odds
EV +3.01%
Fördel +0.668%
Kelly +0.859%
Tillväxt +0.026%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.77%22.94%22.93%25.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.104.194.5027.78%24.37%23.89%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Belinda Bencic (Hemma): 77.11%; Anastasia Zakharova (Borta): 22.89%. För Anastasia Zakharova (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.37. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.50, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.01%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.01%E -7.64%K -50.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +3.01%E +0.668%K +0.859%G +0.026%7.0%2026-10-01 13:05
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.717%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.002%4.7%2026-10-01 13:05
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.886%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.886%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.01%E -7.64%K -50.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -1.57%E -0.366%K -0.477%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 12:50
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 14:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 11:15
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.72%E -0.639%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 14:00
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -2.95%E -0.695%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 13:00
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.15%E -4.19%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 13:06
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -4.38%E -3.54%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -4.55%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.01%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.70%E -5.53%K -31.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 11:15
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.38%E -3.54%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:05
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.93%E -4.86%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 12:00
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 12:33
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 11:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.01%E -7.64%K -50.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 14:30
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -9.81%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 13:10
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:55
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.61%E -2.89%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-01 13:08
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.47%E -6.22%K -37.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-01 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -8.24%E -6.92%K -43.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -16.45%E -4.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-01 13:05
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.84%E -2.26%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.60%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -8.24%E -6.92%K -43.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -17.60%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-01 13:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%7.6%2026-10-01 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%10.1%2026-10-01 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%10.1%2026-10-01 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%10.1%2026-10-01 14:51
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%12.5%2026-10-01 15:10