Language:English
Madison Keys v Donna Vekic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 71.30%1.40fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -6.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.63%71.37%71.15%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.28%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Donna Vekic (Visit)
Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +0.922%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%28.63%28.85%30.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.6032.79%30.47%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 71.30%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 28.70%. For Donna Vekic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.02%E -6.22%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.32%E +0.922%K +1.28%G +0.042% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.450%E +0.128%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.985%E -0.286%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.74%E -6.82%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -0.985%E -0.286%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.85%E -0.540%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -5.86%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.86%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.02%E -6.22%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.74%E -6.82%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -7.59%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -7.59%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 19:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 20:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.47%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20% | 3.3% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |