La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Madison Keys v Donna Vekic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Madison Keys (Local)
Predicción 71.30%1.40momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -6.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.63%71.37%71.15%73.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.28%75.19%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Donna Vekic (Visitante)
Predicción 28.70%3.48momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +0.922%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%28.63%28.85%30.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.283.303.6032.79%30.47%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.02%E -6.22%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.32%E +0.922%K +1.28%G +0.042% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.450%E +0.128%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.985%E -0.286%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.74%E -6.82%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -0.985%E -0.286%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.85%E -0.540%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 20:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -5.86%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.86%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Fliff | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.02%E -6.22%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.74%E -6.82%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -7.59%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -7.59%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 19:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 19:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 20:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.47%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-04-01 20:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20% | 3.3% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |