La scuola delle quote

Madison Keys v Donna Vekic

Inizio: 2026-04-01 20:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 71.30%1.40quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -6.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.63%71.37%71.15%73.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.28%75.19%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Donna Vekic (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.70%3.48quota equa
EV +3.32%
Vantaggio +0.922%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.38%28.63%28.85%30.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.283.303.6032.79%30.47%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.02%E -6.22%K -27.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.32%E +0.922%K +1.28%G +0.042%5.3%2026-04-01 20:20
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.450%E +0.128%K +0.180%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-01 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.985%E -0.286%K -0.402%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 20:25
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.74%E -6.82%K -31.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -0.985%E -0.286%K -0.402%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 20:20
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.85%E -0.540%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:24
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 19:59
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 19:59
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 20:25
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 20:25
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 20:10
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:00
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 20:25
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 20:00
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 19:59
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 19:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 19:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 19:59
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -5.86%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 20:09
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.86%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 20:25
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.74%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 20:00
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 20:00
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 20:00
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 20:00
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 20:00
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.02%E -6.22%K -27.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 20:00
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.74%E -6.82%K -31.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 20:00
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 20:25
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -7.59%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -7.59%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 20:00
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 20:00
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 19:59
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 19:59
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 19:58
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 20:00
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 20:00
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.60%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 20:00
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 20:08
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -12.47%E -4.09%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 20:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-01 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-01 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-01 20:25
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-04-01 20:00
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-01 20:20
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%3.3%2026-04-01 20:25