A Escola das Odds

Madison Keys v Belinda Bencic

Início: 2026-04-03 17:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Previsão 46.24%2.16odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.31%46.07%48.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1151.28%49.07%48.78%47.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Previsão 53.76%1.86odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.588%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.71%53.69%53.93%55.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.761.771.8459.88%56.82%56.66%54.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -2.43%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:30
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.22%E -6.12%K -15.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:31
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:29
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:30
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:30
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:30
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:29
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.75%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:31
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:30
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:30
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.53%E -4.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 17:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.61%E -5.06%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:23
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 17:31
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 17:29
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 17:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 17:29
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:29
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 17:30
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:31
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.45%E -4.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 17:30
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.45%E -4.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -9.68%E -5.76%K -14.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 17:29
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.91%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -1.08%E -0.588%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:31
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 17:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-04-03 17:30
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.89%1.2%2026-04-03 17:30
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-04-03 17:30
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-04-03 17:31