La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Madison Keys v Belinda Bencic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Madison Keys (Local)
Predicción 46.24%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%46.31%46.07%48.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1151.28%49.07%48.78%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Belinda Bencic (Visitante)
Predicción 53.76%1.86momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.588%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.71%53.69%53.93%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.771.8459.88%56.82%56.66%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -2.43%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.22%E -6.12%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.75%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.53%E -4.38%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.61%E -5.06%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 17:23 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.45%E -4.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.45%E -4.27%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -9.68%E -5.76%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| GTbets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.91%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -1.08%E -0.588%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| ProphetX | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.11% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Novig | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.2% | 2026-04-03 17:31 |