L’École des cotes

Madison Keys v Belinda Bencic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 17:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Prévision 46.24%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.31%46.07%48.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.052.1151.28%49.07%48.78%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Belinda Bencic (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.76%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.588%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.71%53.69%53.93%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.771.8459.88%56.82%56.66%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -2.43%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:30
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.22%E -6.12%K -15.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:31
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:29
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -3.36%E -1.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 17:30
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:30
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:30
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.82%E -1.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:29
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.75%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.38%E -3.06%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:31
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.74%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:30
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:30
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 17:31
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.53%E -4.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 17:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.21%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.61%E -5.06%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:23
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 17:31
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.16%E -1.18%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 17:29
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 17:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 17:29
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:29
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 17:30
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -7.52%E -3.76%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.15%E -5.41%K -13.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 17:31
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.45%E -4.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 17:30
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.45%E -4.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -9.68%E -5.76%K -14.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 17:29
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.91%E -4.52%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -1.08%E -0.588%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 17:31
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-04-03 17:30
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.89%1.2%2026-04-03 17:30
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%1.7%2026-04-03 17:30
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-04-03 17:31