Language:English
Madison Keys v Anna Bondár
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 79.39%1.26fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -6.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.34%79.76%79.31%85.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.171.181.2490.91%85.23%84.75%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Bondár (Visit)
Prediction 20.61%4.85fair odd
EV +33.97%
Edge +5.23%
Kelly +6.18%
Growth +2.10%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.47%20.24%20.69%23.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.794.706.5025.00%20.90%21.28%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 79.39%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 20.61%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.85. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +33.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -12.67%E -11.52%K -126.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +33.97%E +5.23%K +6.18%G +2.10% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.08%E -9.90%K -92.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +13.36%E +2.43%K +2.97%G +0.397% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.08%E -9.90%K -92.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +13.36%E +2.43%K +2.97%G +0.397% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +5.12%E +1.00%K +1.25%G +0.064% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +5.12%E +1.00%K +1.25%G +0.064% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -10.29%E -9.11%K -79.16%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV +4.09%E +0.809%K +1.01%G +0.041% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -12.67%E -11.52%K -126.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023% | 10.9% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.62%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.38%EV +1.20%E +0.245%K +0.307%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +0.995%E +0.203%K +0.255%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.07%E -0.222%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.10%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.10%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 19:32 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.91%E -6.82%K -49.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 19:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -6.43%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 19:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -10.34%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 19:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.75%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.37%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.40%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 19:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -15.49%E -3.78%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.56%E -1.26%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 2.2% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.08% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.92% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 19:40 |