A Escola das Odds

Madison Keys v Anna Bondár

Início: 2026-04-02 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Previsão 79.39%1.26odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -6.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.34%79.76%79.31%85.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.171.181.2490.91%85.23%84.75%80.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anna Bondár (Visitante)

Previsão 20.61%4.85odd justa
EV +33.97%
Vantagem +5.23%
Kelly +6.18%
Crescimento +2.10%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.47%20.24%20.69%23.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.794.706.5025.00%20.90%21.28%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -12.67%E -11.52%K -126.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +33.97%E +5.23%K +6.18%G +2.10%6.3%2026-04-02 19:40
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517%4.8%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517%4.8%2026-04-02 19:40
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517%4.8%2026-04-02 19:40
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.08%E -9.90%K -92.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +13.36%E +2.43%K +2.97%G +0.397%7.5%2026-04-02 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.08%E -9.90%K -92.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +13.36%E +2.43%K +2.97%G +0.397%7.5%2026-04-02 19:40
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +5.12%E +1.00%K +1.25%G +0.064%7.3%2026-04-02 19:40
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +5.12%E +1.00%K +1.25%G +0.064%7.3%2026-04-02 19:40
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -10.29%E -9.11%K -79.16%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV +4.09%E +0.809%K +1.01%G +0.041%8.3%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%4.7%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%4.7%2026-04-02 19:40
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%4.7%2026-04-02 19:40
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%4.7%2026-04-02 19:39
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -12.67%E -11.52%K -126.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%10.9%2026-04-02 19:40
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.62%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.38%EV +1.20%E +0.245%K +0.307%G +0.004%5.1%2026-04-02 19:40
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +0.995%E +0.203%K +0.255%G +0.003%5.2%2026-04-02 19:30
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 19:30
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.07%E -0.222%K -0.281%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.10%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 19:30
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.10%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 19:30
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 19:30
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 19:32
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.91%E -6.82%K -49.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 19:40
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 19:24
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 19:35
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:35
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 19:34
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -6.43%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 19:33
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 19:30
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:35
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 19:40
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 19:29
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 19:39
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 19:35
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -10.34%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 19:39
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.75%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.37%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.40%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 19:24
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -15.49%E -3.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-02 19:35
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.56%E -1.26%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 19:35
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-04-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-02 19:40
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%2.2%2026-04-02 19:40
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.08%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.92%2.4%2026-04-02 19:40